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 My Opinion  
   
 

‘Combined Minds’ Can Yield Panacea for Inflation

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The histories of nations show that modern education is the basic instrument for the political, social, and economic development of their respective people. All governments in the world invest heavily in education, recognizing that it is the bridge that guarantees the continuation of civilized generations. There could not be a different story for the Ethiopian government. The education sector is one of the most key agendas of the government, with its own objectives and strategies.

From the perspective of the overall return to the development of the nation, researches indicate that investment in primary education has more returns than  the higher levels of education .This is the rationale, among other things, behind the government’s  free primary education  provision.

Nevertheless, a huge stock of knowledge, which is a very essential input in the overall matrix of development, is mainly the product of investment in higher education. When countries face political, social and economic problems, great minds from multi- disciplinary fields analyze the problems and suggest their own panacea.  Unlike any other traded commodities, where countries usually apply the comparative advantage theory by which they produce commodities at which they are in relative advantage from other countries, they must produce all kinds of knowledge. And all kinds of knowledge should be applied to all kinds of ills, namely the economy or others.

This is exactly what the economy is starved of, among other things, in Ethiopia today. The economic analysis, theories and solutions to economic problems that have dominated the economy pages of newspapers and other media alike are devoid of the insights and approaches of other disciplines. The problems of the economy could have been better explained and better solutions could have been gained had representatives of other disciplines collaborated to give new insights into the analysis of, and solutions to economic problems. 

Consider inflation. The Ethiopian economy is plagued with unprecedented inflation, probably the highest in the history of the Ethiopian economy as the government claims, or as the IMF confirms, for that matter.  In the mean time, the media in general have been preoccupied with soliciting analysis from economists who have little understanding of the consequential impact on the economy of other factors which are beyond the realm of economics and which the inquisitive minds from other disciplines could better explain through their own analytical methods.

The unfortunate reader is therefore unable to read other minds from other disciplines which seem to think that they have no business analyzing the economy, or if I am wrong in this speculation, I would attribute it to the lack of a probing mind, with due courtesy. To put it bluntly, the lacking element is a comprehensive analysis which is far from the demand-supply analysis that dominates the playing field. And a comprehensive analysis can only be found with a coordinated collaboration of various disciplines where minds other than the economists are represented. 

Take, for instance, the relation between the existing inflation rate and the prevailing interest  rate, “the economist” Prime Minister was greatly stunned during his parliamentary presentation last time to see savings increase in a very unusual manner in spite of the double digit  negative real interest rate. Any other economist can not help but be puzzled too by this phenomenon. Thus, it is at this point of time that representatives from other disciplines should have had some thing to say. The spending and saving behaviour of people in general, and individuals in particular, which often demonstrates itself in contradiction to accepted rules of economics, do not mainly fall under the domain of economics. It is rather the prerogative of other disciplines.  The addition into the approaches to economics by sociologists who study about society’s culture, beliefs and attitudes and psychologists who study about individual behaviour, would  undoubtedly  enhance the predictions in the science of economics,  which in turn will help policy makers to make the right, if not perfect judgments.

The legal environment in which businesses operate has the chance to potentially be damaging or supportive to the economy. Therefore, an inquisitive mind from the art of law which sees the economy from this point of view is very essential; hence the active presence of the voice of lawyers is helpful to the economy.  And this is true in other disciplines too the basic idea in general being that the sharing of ideas on economic issues by various disciplines is essential n order to enhance the predictions of the science of economics which most of the time assumes some basic factors to be constant and which, as a result, has been called a “dismal science”. Therefore, the panacea for the economic woes should not necessarily come from economists.

However, it can never mean that since economists do not usually come up with correct indictments, other disciplines may totally improve this reality.  What is very important to remember is the old adage “a problem halved is a problem solved.” 

 

 

By Haftamu Tefere

 
 
 
   
   
   
 
 
 

 

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