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Small went smart in finance after
the train wreck financial crisis that
shattered the core of the global financial
system in 2008. Too big to fail becomes the
new normal for apologetic statists that
categorically count bailouts as crimes.
Chopping the big investment banks of the
developed world into new breeds of downsized
financial institutions was their resultant
advices for the recent financial crisis.
At the other end of the spectrum
dwell microfinance institutions (MFIs) that
have little to do with the global financial
crisis. Extending small and tailored loans
for small and micro enterprises, they are
even seen as lifesavers of the lopsided and
ill-managed global books of accounts.
There are 30 of them in Ethiopia
with 2.5 million active beneficiaries, a
total capital of 2.5 billion Br and an
outstanding loan size of 6.1 billion Br.
Unlike their global stature, MFIs in
Ethiopia are less popular. They are
criticized for poor credit management
system, undeveloped research and development
activities, directed credit provision and
high politicization. These are not good
blames for financial institutions.
So much as holidays witness a credit
spree, debates on effective microloans stir
in social circles. It would be complemented
with individuals that have taken loans for
their immediate needs: a new trend in most
towns and urban centers of the country. As
the new trend is growingly getting
worrisome, the debate has even haunted
policy makers.
On the one hand, the existing policy
framework considers microloans as financial
tools to promote small enterprise creation
and poverty reduction. Linked with small and
medium enterprises (SMEs), they are reckoned
by the Revolutionary Democrats as the
vehicles of empowerment under the
developmental state model. They are also
taken as fixers of the holes of the elitist,
neo-liberal financial model that caters
service for the privileged few.
Skeptics, however, claim that the
Ethiopian model of microfinance, as it
appears, is a politicized version of the
traditional approach. Structures defined
along administrative regimes, institutions
too dependent on government financing and
directed loan provision are symbolic of the
systemic parochialism. Instead of
instigating small business creation, they
argue, they are serving as platforms of
consolidating politically defined simulative
enterprise breeding.
Much is at stake, though. It even
goes beyond the services of the
institutions. Total savings of 2.7 billion
Br and liabilities close to six billion Br
mean a lot for the fiscal and monetary
policy of the country. Hence, the debate
transcends microeconomics.
As it stands, government policy
protects microfinance institutions. Their
close linkage with regional governments
provides them with unrestrained supply of
finance. It also shelters them from
competition as they are delimited in
regions. In so doing, it has put them beyond
the radar of the central bank.
To the credit of the policy,
outstanding loans by the institutions
continue to increase with the largest MFI
witnessing a loan size of 1.7 billion Br, in
2011. Five of the 30 operational
institutions serve 84.7pc of the
beneficiaries with a capital ranging from
360 million Br to 760 million Br, each. They
have also individually mobilized savings
ranging from 130 million Br to 1.1 billion
Br, in 2011.
Yet, their books witness huge
liability. Much of it is owed to regional
governments depriving the institutions of
operational autonomy. An increasing default
rate that is hovering at a rate of 39pc,
annually, according to some studies, is no
less worrisome for the institutions.
Protectionist approach is harmful
for the monetary policy of the nation. Since
much of the inflationary pressure in the
economy is monetarily driven, unregulated
institutional holes such as MFIs will
exacerbate the problem. So far as the
monetary buildup will happen at the bottom,
it might further structuralize inflation.
Coupled with increasing default rate
and relatively high non-performing loans,
this could grow too big to challenge vthe
ery objectives of the monetary policy. At
the helm of it, however, lies the
unrestrained and unconditional fiscal
support that regional governments provide
for MFIs.
Good as it may be to support
financial institutions, sheltering them from
the realities of the market will make them
vulnerable. It will also deprive them the
comparative advantage they could have built
through genuine, market-based competition.
That is exactly what has happened in the
Ethiopian MFI system with even the largest
institutions unable to poise their balance
sheet.
Poor research and development
capacity of the institutions also
contributes its fair share for their sub-par
operations. In absence of vibrant research
wings, most MFIs allocate resources
abruptly. The most active ones follow the
policy line, which is not always lucrative
from business point of view. Rampant
institutional passivity underlies the system
in the country that only systemic
overhauling could reverse the trend.
Much of the outstanding loans of the
institutions are spent on duplicative and
unviable portfolios. It is even worse in
urban areas, wherein microfinance
institutions are turning into sources of
unwarranted finance with no strings
attached. Cash demands for household
activities dominate the scene.
Comparatively, the policy intent was
to promote small business creation that
could support upward mobility. But the
results deviate from the intent. At it
appears, access to finance is not adequately
serving its purpose and right beneficiaries.
At the heart of it all lays the
undeveloped capacity of the institutions to
assess the creditworthiness of an individual
or a business establishment. In absence of
the needed human resource, research
information, credibility, societal linkage
and reputation, the institutions have little
to do than taking client information at its
face value. Project and individual appraisal
are given less of an attention and hence, a
rising default rate.
It is pitiful that such a large
amount of money is locked in a rather
uncoordinated sector that is allowed to grow
with all its malfunctions. Neither would it
be comprehensible that the government
allowed its crucial development tool to
spoil at the face of it. So long as MFIs are
vital sources of finance for the poor and
important vehicles to derive small business
creation, they must be given attention by
the government.
As a regulator of the financial
sector, the central bank has to embrace the
institution under its newly established
credit information system. Doing so would
help to regulate them properly, avoid
inflationary externalities and institute
consolidated monetary policy. Regulatory
excuses will no more be excusable as they
will allow inflationary monetary buildup at
the bottom.
Fiscal support for MFIs by regional
governments has to be linked to performance.
It must be conditional upon proofs of
business and job creation. Measures of
performance have to relate operations of the
institutions with policy targets, aside
customary accounting indices. Similarly,
linkage effects with SMEs development ought
to be embraced within the performance
measures.
Building the research and
development capacity of the MFIs will also
be essential as that will guarantee their
sustained operation, solvency and relevance.
Regional government must relate their fiscal
support for MFIs with research, so that they
provide it with sufficient attention.
Putting a compulsory research budget could
help in these terms.
Above all, though, exposing the
institutions for the vagaries of the market
will be the lasting solution. The era of
protectionism must end as it only incubated
parochial, financially reckless, and
unregulated microfinance system in the
country. Sustainable microfinance system
could only be built through the very forces
of demand and supply defined in a
transparent system with self-regulation.
That needs to be the road for the
Ethiopian microfinance system if it is meant
to play its role of serving the poor,
empowering them and pushing them up the
income ladder. A lot of that, however, will
depend on the political willingness of the
Revolutionary Democrats. |