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Abyssinia Springs is a product that is
bottled in a plant up in an area popularly
known as Frensay Legasion. With a daily
production of 40,000 bottles, the product
has travelled so far in that it is no longer
considered to be a luxury. In fact, in a
city where almost half of its residents
suffer from a short supply of water, bottled
water has become a necessity.
Indeed, ever since Highland Springs hit the
market a little over five years ago, as a
pioneer product of such items, bottled water
has become a permanent fixture not only in
Addis Abeba. Travel in any direction of the
country would reveal that the demand for
bottled water is increasing phenomenally;
even towns far away from the capital have
small kiosks carrying any of these brands:
Highland, AquaAddis, AquaSafe, Abyssinia,
Real or Cool. That is due to an environment
that permits competition among these
enterprises.
The emergence of dozens of bottling
companies has created jobs for thousands,
and the companies do pay tax to the
government. Not to mention their magnificent
contribution in helping the country save
scarce foreign exchange that used to be
spent on foreign imports of products such as
Evian from France and Masafi from Yemen.
Although this may not make a serious dent on
the balance of payment deficit, which is now
at 4.1pc of the GDP, theirs is a small
contribution in not exacerbating the gap in
the trade balance.
There are yet more positive contributions by
two companies, owned by the same individual,
which have become visible in a fledging
industry. Ethio-Japan Nylon and Woinua
Curtail Trading Plcs. are two of the 60
garment factories operating in the market;
and part of the 16 that are involved in the
export sector. Every month, the companies
send four containers of their products to
Europe, significantly contributing to the
eight million dollars revenue the nation
earned from the exports of garments in
2006/07 budget year.
Both these companies are now confronted with
problems that their respective managements
had not anticipated a few months back but
which have seriously hampered their
efficiency and productivity. Following the
power load shedding that suddenly began in
April 2008, denying users 10 days of
electric power supply within a month, these
companies now say the cost to their
businesses has become increasingly
unsustainable. Delay on shipments has
subjected the garment factories to a loss of
40,000 Euro. And they are not alone in this
predicament.
The bottling companies have also had to cut
down their daily productions: Abyssinia
downsized production by half, and Highland
reduced its daily output of 100,000 bottles
by almost 40pc. This is partly the reason
why bottled water seems to be slowly
disappearing from supermarket shelves in
Addis in the past few weeks.
The overall impact of the latest series of
power interruptions is not limited only to
the loss of production at a few of these
companies, or to the supply constraint it
has created on their market. It is much
greater. Significant decline in productivity
and the additional cost the interruptions
put on companies that have to use generators
to power their operations, have caused a one
percent loss on the GDP, according to an
estimate made by Fortune's analyst. In just
one quarter, there has been a loss of 280
million dollars from national productivity
due to power load shedding.
The response to this crisis from the state
utility company is inept, to say the least.
If there is anything these sudden power
interruptions expose, it is not so much the
15pc increase in national power consumption
or the 20pc loss of water from the dams to
evaporation, as the managers of the state
owned Ethiopian Electric Power Corporation (EEPCo)
would have the sceptical public believe.
Rather, it reveals their inability to
understand their business, to conduct
regular and credible assessments and to
forecast this shortage as accurately as
possible so that they could have forewarned
their subscribers about the calamity to
come. They did not.
Many businesses are now furious with them;
and rightly so. EEPCo's response in managing
the crisis is not only insufficient, but
also appears to be disingenuous: It hardly
sticks to the publicly announced schedules,
and power interruptions have become erratic
and more frequent. Often, the power
corporation switches power off after
midnight, without first informing the
public. A company that was part of the
millennium frenzy a few months back,
lightening up every building that put up
neon lights in Addis, has now subjected
pretty much of the city to darkness.
And EEPCo seems to lack imagination on how
to distribute the little power that it does
generate. For instance, it could have
scheduled the load shedding for half a day
from one area to another, instead of
subjecting an entire neighbourhood to a full
day of dullness and lack of productivity.
Neither is the government's response to all
this satisfactory, it is perplexing in some
ways. Its attitude borders to what amounts
to be helplessness, as it simply sees the
problem as temporary, and one that could be
resolved when the dams under construction
start to generate more power. It does little
to help companies cope with the crisis in
the meantime, such as possibly providing
them with fiscal incentives by lifting duty
and excise taxes from generator imports.
That would have made the purchase of
generators affordable, although the spending
on diesel would be additional cost to
businesses.
Whatever response has come from the state so
far has been limited to compelling the power
company not to interrupt power to those
businesses involved in the export sector.
Companies such as Ethio-Japan Nylon and
Woinua Curtail Trading Plc, as well as
Abyssinia and Highland, may have encountered
similar handicaps that are not of their
making. Yet they are not at par in the
treatment they receive from the government,
which should be equally accountable to all
in a quest for a solution.
The garment factory is lucky enough to be on
the list of the 150 companies in the export
sector, in addition to the 90 flower farms,
and can consequently enjoy power non-stop as
opposed to those that manufacture Abyssinia
and Highland; the latter are left out from
the instruction the Minister of Trade and
Industry, Girma Birru, gave to EEPCo a few
weeks ago to continually provide electric
power to exporters.
He certainly has good reason to have done
that: His ministry wants to see the export
revenue the country earns grow by at least
five per cent annually. Take, for instance,
the 1.7 billion dollars revenue targeted for
this budget year. There is a great deal of
doubt whether this is a target that could be
met within the remaining one quarter,
judging from the nation's export performance
in the past three quarters.
That the country grossed the one billion
dollar mark within the three quarters is
indeed a remarkable achievement, for a few
years ago, this would have caused top
officials of this government to jump from
their seats with joy. But seen from what the
Ministry has planned for the three quarters,
the recorded earnings reflect a shortfall of
280 million dollars. If the Minister and his
team of trade experts are nervous that an
industry constrained by a series of power
interruptions would fail from meeting its
target, such a move is very understandable.
There is hardly anything wrong if the
government uses policy instruments to
support this sector as a way of dealing with
the challenge posed by power failure. There
are several other encouraging incentives,
including tax holidays as well as duty free
imports, that it has been granting to
industries of its liking as many other
governments across the world would have
done.
But when such preferential treatment is done
at the expense of other industries, whether
or not they are involved in sectors the
state thinks promote its policy agenda, it
becomes unfair and screams of a double
standard. A state is supposed to be equally
accountable and supportive to the various
industries, whether it is a garment factory
or a water bottling plant.
Instructing a monopolistic firm under its
strong grip to advance its policy agenda is,
of course, not new to a government like the
Ethiopian one. Ironically, its leaders do
not see anything wrong in holding a state
monopoly of key economic sectors such as
land, banking, telecom and transport and
using them to promote their agenda. If
Minister Girma instructed the power company
- a giant state monopoly with the exclusive
rights to transmit power - it only falls in
this pattern. Their view of what the state
should be doing in managing the country
justifies their actions.
The Revolutionary Democrats who hold power
in Ethiopia are far from building a liberal
thinking state that is small but efficient.
For them, a state is a political, economic
and military machine that goes beyond
contract administration in a society: In
itself, it is a powerful instrument to bring
the kind of change they envision.
This view is not new to Ethiopia, thus they
cannot be accused of introducing something
different. A feudal and hierarchical society
for many centuries, a state is everything in
an Ethiopian's life; it has been a provider
as much as it has been a protector. It has
been an arbiter as much as it has been a
player itself. The Revolutionary Democrats
simply continue to be custodians of this
traditional view of a state by both those in
the government and the governed, but to a
varying degree. They are different from
their predecessor because they decided to
implement a quasi-free market economic
policy due to whatever motive they had or
incentives they were given.
Their record in the past was very mixed,
though, ranging from publicly declared
intentions to build "white capitalism" to a
complete reversal to a developmental state;
and from the privatisation of the 1990s to
the re-assertiveness of the state in the
economy by creating mega corporations in the
mid 2000s.
The latest decision to force the utility
company to provide uninterrupted power
supply to the export sector is only a
reflection of this absence of ideological
clarity on the role of the state in the
economy.
In an open society, the state should not be
allowed to be everything in citizens' life.
It should have the limited role of
discharging the common good upon delegation
from voters. It should limit itself to
writing laws that guarantee the right to
life and to own property, and enforce them
irrespective of economic actors' propinquity
to its agenda. The rule of law should be
applied uniformly and indiscriminately.
In managing the economy, the state's primary
role ought to be in ensuring that there is
indeed sufficient room for just, free and
unfettered competition in the market that
could serve the self-determined demands of
individuals. This is a kind of system - as
competitive as it truly could get - that can
help businesses make the most efficient and
rewarding use of scare resources available
in a poor country such as Ethiopia.
If there has been any short supply in
Ethiopia in the past, it could not match the
need to have such a government. Ethiopia has
never experienced a government that is
limited in its role; if there have been
problems, these ought to be because of the
large dose of paternalistic states
prescribed around here. Although it still
appears to be too early for Ethiopia to have
a libertarian state, and there is no group
that dares to advocate these ideals openly
in the current political landscape, it
should be a government of such nature -
bound by its ideological convictions - not
to intervene, through discrimination, in the
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