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Economists
used to tell governments to fix their policies. Now they
tell them to fix their institutions. Their new reform agenda
covers a long list of objectives, including reducing
corruption, improving the rule of law, increasing the
accountability and effectiveness of public institutions, and
enhancing the access and voice of citizens.
Real and sustainable change is supposedly possible only by
transforming the “rules of the game” - the manner in which
governments operate and relate to the private sector.
Good governance is, of course, essential insofar as it
provides households with greater clarity and investors with
greater assurance that they can secure a return on their
efforts. Placing emphasis on governance also has the
apparent virtue of helping to shift the focus of reform
toward inherently desirable objectives. Traditional
recommendations like free trade, competitive exchange rates,
and sound fiscal policy are worthwhile only to the extent
that they achieve other desirable objectives, such as faster
economic growth, lower poverty, and improved equity.
By contrast, the intrinsic importance of the rule of law,
transparency, voice, accountability, or effective government
is obvious. We might even say that good governance is
development itself.
Unfortunately, much of the discussion surrounding
governance reforms fails to make a distinction between
governance-as-an-end and governance-as-a means. The result
is muddled thinking and inappropriate strategies for reform.
Economists and aid agencies would be more useful if they
turned their attention to what one might call “governance
writ small.” This requires moving away from the broad
governance agenda and focusing on reforms of specific
institutions in order to target binding constraints on
growth.
Poor
countries suffer from a multitude of growth constraints, and
effective reforms address the most binding among them. Poor
governance may, in general, be the binding constraint in
Zimbabwe and a few other countries, but it was not in China,
Vietnam, or Cambodia - countries that are growing rapidly
despite poor governance - and it most surely is not in
Ethiopia, South Africa, El Salvador, Mexico, or Brazil.
As a rule, broad governance reform is neither necessary nor
sufficient for growth. It is not necessary, because what
really works in practice is removing successive binding
constraints, whether they are supply incentives in
agriculture, infrastructure bottlenecks, or high credit
costs. It is not sufficient, because sustaining the fruits
of governance reform without accompanying growth is
difficult. As desirable as the rule of law and similar
reforms may be in the long run and for development in
general, they rarely deserve priority as part of a growth
strategy.
Governance
writ small focuses instead on those institutional
arrangements that can best relax the constraints on growth.
Suppose, for example, that we identify macroeconomic
instability as the binding constraint in a particular
economy. In a previous era, an economic adviser might have
recommended specific fiscal and monetary policies - a
reduction in fiscal expenditures or a ceiling on credit -
geared at restoring macroeconomic balances.
Today,
that adviser would supplement these recommendations with
others that are much more institutional in nature and
fundamentally about governance. He or she might advocate
making the central bank independent in order to reduce
political meddling, and changing the framework for managing
fiscal policy - setting up fiscal rules, for example, or
allowing only an up-or-down legislative vote on budget
proposals.
Macroeconomic policy is an area in which economists have
done a lot of thinking about institutional prerequisites.
The same is true in a few other areas, such as education
policy and telecom regulation.
But in
other areas, such as trade, employment, or industrial
policies, prevailing thinking is either naïve or
non-existent. That is a pity, because economists’
understanding of the substantive issues, professional
obsession with incentives, and attention to unanticipated
consequences give them a natural advantage in designing
institutional arrangements to further the objectives in
question while minimizing behavioural distortions.
Designing
appropriate institutional arrangements also requires both
local knowledge and creativity. What works in one setting is
unlikely to work in another.
While
import liberalization works fine for integrating with the
world economy when import-competing interests are not
powerful and the currency is unlikely to become overvalued,
export subsidies or special economic zones will work far
better in other circumstances. Similarly, central bank
independence may be a great idea when monetary instability
is the binding constraint, but it will backfire where the
real challenge is poor competitiveness.
Unfortunately, the type of institutional reform promoted by,
among others, the World Bank, IMF, and the World Trade
Organization is biased toward a best-practice model, which
presumes that a set of universally appropriate institutional
arrangements can be determined and views convergence towards
them as being inherently desirable. But best-practice
institutions are, by definition, non-contextual and cannot
take local complications into account. Insofar as they
narrow rather than expand the menu of available
institutional choices, they serve the cause of good
governance badly.
Good
governance is good in and of itself. It can also be good for
growth when it is targeted at binding constraints. Too much
focus on broad issues, such as rule of law and
accountability, runs the risk that policymakers will end up
tilting at windmills while overlooking the particular
governance challenges most closely linked to economic
growth.
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