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Fake gold, depreciating Birr, unofficial foreign exchange
transactions, escalating prices of cement, prices of
almost everything going mad . . . these are hot
issues of interest to gossip corridors across the
city. People seem to be at a loss of what to make of
all the rumours, unable to determine the truth from
the baseless.
That was of course up until last Tuesday, when the Prime
Minister appeared before Parliament where it was
highly anticipated that he would make sense out of
the utter confusion spread around the capital and
aggravated by the follow up raids by law enforcement
agencies on about twelve currency black market
shops. Gossip corridors were not impressed with the
Prime Minister’s explanation on any of these issues.
Why the government has acted unaware of the existence of
overtly operating exchange shops across town and the
clamp down on them still remains a mystery to many
at the gossip corridor. The threat that these
currency dealers posed to the national economy, as
claimed by the Prime Minister, was far from being
taken seriously. Neither will the action taken
against these dealers bring about the kind of result
the government hopes to achieve; it will only drive
these operators further underground, according to
the general opinion at the gossip corridor.
The government was forewarned when it decided to grant
permission for companies to import cement, using
Franco valuta; a form of import that does not
require the treasury commit foreign currency. It was
meant to allow construction firms to bring in cement
for their requirement, while traders would import to
distribute the cement to the local market.
Government had hoped that it would identify and
control such imports. Not many of Addis Abeba’s
high-flying businessmen, however, were excited with
the idea. In fact, they proved reluctant to take
advantage of the new policy, as they were worried
that involvement in this would expose them to
uncalled for attention by the government on how much
they have in their foreign accounts, gossip claimed.
Thus, the field was left largely to foreigners; a year on,
these people had to choose between investing
whatever they have brought here in to the country,
or taking the money out. According to gossip, there
emerged a new development in the region where demand
for sugar in Somalia suddenly surged. Suppliers
needed to be liquid to buy sugar from the
international market in order to export sugar there.
Some at the gossip corridors attribute these factors as
reasons for the sudden fallout of the Birr against
the dollar - from 9.2 Br in December 2007 to 9.6 Br
in mid-March 2008 - yet the dollar itself is
fallingalarmingly against the basket of other
currencies. Such was also the case with the
“parallel” market, which jumped from 9.3 Br against
a dollar three months ago to 10.65 Br to the same
just before the crackdown.
Others at the gossip corridors, however, relate this
development to the emergence of a scandal at the
central bank, where the national treasury is said to
have paid hundreds of millions of Birr to buy fake
gold. They felt that Ethiopia’s reserve in gold has
been compromised and this has shattered public
confidence. The apprehension of black market shop
owners and the subsequent government bashing of
businessmen and women does little to restore this,
all according to gossip. The subject of interest at
gossip corridors will remain the same for weeks as
the Birr continues to fall.
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