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In early February, the United Sates (US) National
Academy of Engineering released a report on “Grand
Challenges for Engineering in the 21st Century”. The
goal is to focus attention on the potential of
technology to help the world address poverty and
environmental threats. The list includes potential
breakthroughs such as low-cost solar power, safe
disposal of CO2 from power plants, nuclear fusion,
new educational technologies and the control of
environmental side effects from nitrogen fertilisers.
The report, like the Gates Foundation’s similar list
of “Grand Challenges” in global health, highlights a
new global priority: promoting advanced technologies
for sustainable development.
We are used to thinking about global cooperation in
fields such as monetary policy, disease control or
nuclear weapons proliferation. We are less
accustomed to thinking of global cooperation to
promote new technologies, such as clean energy, a
malaria vaccine, or drought-resistant crops to help
poor African farmers. By and large, we regard new
technologies as something to be developed by
businesses for the marketplace, not as opportunities
for global problem solving.
Yet, given the enormous global pressures that we
face, including vastly unequal incomes and massive
environmental damage, we must find new technological
solutions to our problems. There is no way, for
example, to continue expanding the global use of
energy safely unless we drastically alter how we
produce electricity, power automobiles and heat and
cool our buildings.
Current reliance on coal, natural gas and petroleum,
without regard for CO2 emissions, is now simply too
dangerous, because it is leading to climate changes
that will spread diseases, destroy crops, produce
more droughts and floods and perhaps dramatically
raise sea levels, thereby inundating coastal
regions.
The National Academy of Engineering identified some
possible answers. We can harness safe nuclear
energy, lower the cost of solar power, or capture
and safely store the CO2 produced from burning
fossil fuels. Yet the technologies are not yet
ready, and we can not simply wait for the market to
deliver them, because they require complex changes
in public policy to ensure that they are safe,
reliable and acceptable to the broad public.
Moreover, there are no market incentives in place to
induce private businesses to invest adequately in
developing them.
Consider carbon capture and sequestration. The idea
is that power plants and other large fossil fuel
users should capture the CO2 and pump it into
permanent underground storage sites, such as old oil
fields. This will cost, say, 30 dollars per tonne of
CO2 that is stored, so businesses will need an
incentive to do it. Moreover, public policies will
have to promote the testing and improvement of this
technology, especially when used at a large scale.
New kinds of power plants will have to be built to
make carbon capture economical, new pipelines will
have to be built to transport the CO2 to storage
sites, and new monitoring systems will have to be
designed to control leaks. Likewise, new regulations
will be needed to ensure compliance with safety
procedures, and to assure public support. All of
this will take time, costly investments, and lots of
collaboration between scientists and engineers in
universities, government laboratories, and private
businesses.
Moreover, this kind of technology will be useful
only if it is widely used, notably in China and
India. This raises another challenge of
technological innovation: we will need to support
the transfer of proven technologies to poorer
countries. If rich countries monopolise new
technologies, the goal of worldwide use to solve
worldwide problems will be defeated. Thus,
technological developments should involve a
collaborative international effort from the start.
All of this will require a new global approach to
problem solving. We will need to embrace global
goals and then establish scientific, engineering,
and political processes to support their
achievement. We will need to give new budgetary
incentives to promote demonstration projects, and to
support technology transfer. And we will have to
engage major companies in a new way, giving them
ample incentives and market rewards for success,
without allowing them to hold a monopoly on
successful technologies that should be widely
adopted.
I
believe that this new kind of global public-private
partnership on technology development will be a
major objective of international policy making in
the coming years. Look for new global cooperative
approaches to clean energy systems, medicines and
vaccines, improved techniques for fish farming,
drought-and-temperature resistant crop varieties,
high-mileage automobiles and low-cost irrigation
techniques.
Rich countries should fund these efforts heavily,
and they should be carried out in collaboration with
poor countries and the private sector. Successful
technological breakthroughs can provide stunning
benefits for humanity. This will be an exciting time
to be a scientist or engineer facing the challenges
of sustainable development.
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