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For any casual observer of the latest public
appearance by the Prime Minister in front of
Addis Abebans on Friday, December 21, 2007,
at the Millennium Hall, the event gave the
overwhelming impression of a town hall
meeting held between residents and their
elected mayor.
Indeed, Mayor Brehane Deressa was seated in
the front row, accompanied by some of his
top lieutenants, and observed the discussion
while nodding his head - affirmatively and
repeatedly - when Prime Minister Meles
Zenawi spoke in defence of the mayor's
rather frail administration.
Defended he was by Meles, who described
Mayor Brehane's Caretaker Administration as
a "government of crises". The Prime
Minister, to the delight of the Mayor and
his supporters, argued that the mandate of
such administration is very limited as its
organisational capacity is almost
non-existent; it is after all an
administration without the backing of any
political party apparatus. Fair enough, the
two-year administration has to contend with
the vices of a 100-year-old city
bureaucracy, though the Prime Minister also
asserted his view that the source of much of
the trouble in Addis Abeba is the
administration's dismal capacity to
implement policy.
The increasingly evident impotence of the
city government, however, did not deter
delegates from the 10-district women's forum
and members of advisory councils from the 99
kebeles from raising issues of mainly
municipal nature.
The women's forum was one of two such
entities - the other being the youth forum -
formed in Addis Abeba after the electoral
blow the Revolutionary Democrats suffered at
the hands of their rivals, the CUD, which
ironically is now in a shamble. As Rude a
awakening as it was to the ruling party, its
gurus belatedly discovered that there has
just been too much resentment and grudges
held by many in the capital against them due
to their neglect of urban issues during
their first decade in power.
The urban population, particularly in the
capital and particularly among youth and
women, has suffered from unemployment,
estimated to reach 21pc according to data
compiled in 2005 by the Ethiopian Statistics
Authority. The figure is even higher - 30pc
- when it involves the youth.
Lack of sufficient housing has debilitated
the capital for decades now; an estimate
made in the early 2000 places the demand at
400,000, a figure that appeared for many at
the time to be conservative. What's more,
residents have suffered from poor municipal
and kebele services to such an extent that
demanding one's own right to be served in
return for taxes paid now draws an appalled
and surprised expression from people. The
Revolutionary Democrats finally coined an
interesting euphemism for the problem: "Lack
of good governance".
Unlike its partner-in-dialogue last Friday,
the Advisory Council was established much
earlier, even before the advent of the May
2005 national election. Mayor Brehane's
predecessor, Arkebe Oqubay, who also was
chief of a provisional administration
replacing the unpopular Ali Abdo, had tried
to jolt an end to the lethargy. He created
the advisory council in each kebele after he
reorganised the woredas into 10 districts
and widdled down the kebeles under them to
99.
He was not alone. By then, the Revolutionary
Democrats were awake from their long policy
slumber when it comes to urban management,
and designed a new policy package of
investing hundreds of millions of Birr in
condominium construction. It was a good
policy: It provides housing to residents; it
gives employment opportunities to tens of
thousands in the city, focusing on women and
youth; and it creates unprecedented business
opportunities for suppliers and contractors.
The benefits of this policy package,
however, came too late to convince the
reluctant public to reward the Revolutionary
Democrats with electoral votes. The problem
was not so much about evictions and
displacement, as the Prime Minister has
argued on Friday. Many were in fact pleased
to see the city being renovated, and didn't
mind seeing old squatter settlements giving
way to new and high-rising edifices.
Instead, it was the manner in which such
measures were taken and the reluctance by
city officials to respect the rule of law in
implementing the policy - if not their
provocative arbitrariness - that aggravated
the urban movement against his party.
Alas, not many of the delegates at the
Millennium Hall - estimated to have reached
6,000 by the accounts of state media -
seemed to have been interested to raise such
critical issues. Indeed, the first two
questions were the only exceptional ones.
Delegates opened the meeting by asking about
the HR 2003 Bill recently passed by the
United States' Congress and about the
delicate relationship with the regime in
Eritrea - issues that proved challenging to
the Prime Minister when explaining his
administration's position on them to
Parliament. With these exceptions, delegates
were primarily interested in topics of
concern to the city administration such as
the leasing of plots in Addis Abeba and the
sticky matters of displacement, compensation
and corruption involved in the process.
In form true to good public relations
strategy, Meles that evening made a
particularly audacious promise that his
administration would not rest until getting
to the bottom of the corruption scandal and
prosecuting the guilty parties. The comment
reverberated when state TV and radio
reported on the meeting, which had also been
broadcast live on Friday morning.
Many of the other issues raised at the
meeting were related to the cost of living,
migration from rural areas, the cost of
utilities and quality of municipal services,
housing development and allocations, lack of
supports for youth and women, and alleged
abuses committed against the latter group.
Meles was hardly challenged on his party's
policy positions or the manner that these
policies are being implemented by his
administration. Neither did delegates broach
issues of democratic space or the
government's record on human rights and rule
of law.
With the level of discourse, perhaps it
would have been more appropriate to merely
conduct the meeting between members of the
public and the mayor.
Alas, the Mayor himself has not been elected
to office, but appointed by the Prime
Minister, thus his accountability is more to
the latter than to any constituency. And
Addis Abeba is one of the two chartered
cities in the country expected to report to
the Prime Minister.
For Meles and his party though, what
happened in the Millennium Hall demonstrated
the climax of their public relations
onslaught against their political opponents
ahead of national elections to kebele and
woreda administrations. These are key
administrative units in this country, where
political battles are won or lost.
Although many of the issues raised on Friday
were more mundane than paramount, and
perhaps better left to the city mayor, the
Prime Minister was nonetheless observed to
be very careful to balance his responses,
and cautious not to provoke any group.
This is indeed a different Meles from the
person the nation grew accustomed to prior
to the rude awakening in May 2005, though
perhaps it is a natural result of age, as he
once alluded to during a press conference.
Whatever the cause, he was modest, watchful
of his words and never dismissive or
disregarding.
It was, of course, not his first encounter
with members of the public. There was the
youth both from the capital and from all the
regions; women forum members; the Diaspora
visited the country during the New Year; the
academic community; and now residents of the
capital. The more he talked to people, the
less vocal people have come in their
grievances and protest against the ruling
party.
It is reasonable to think that the Prime
Minister and his army of cadres organising
such meetings are disarming the public of
the grievances held for many years - for
reasons however real or imagined. Suffice
that increasing numbers of people are
walking the streets of Addis wearing
T-shirts bearing his photo, or the new trend
of selling postcards for two Birr featuring
his portrait. Of course there are those in
his party who are not comfortable with these
developments and are concerned that this may
lead to a cult of personality.
Strategy disputes aside, it is clear that
the Revolutionary Democrats are rolling up
their sleeves and determined to play the
electoral game with a vengeance. Ironically,
their opponents are nowhere to be seen
countering this public relations onslaught;
instead, they are busy with their own intra
or inter-party squabbles, and for now simply
along for the ride. They no longer seem to
be dealing with an overconfident incumbent
that had underestimated the extent of public
discontent with its behaviour.
It will be interesting to see how the public
behaves come the next local elections, and
most enlightening, maybe, for the
opposition. |