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Anyone interested in peacemaking, poverty reduction
and Africa's future should read the new United
Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) report, "Sudan:
Post-Conflict Environmental Assessment". This may
sound like a technical report on Sudan's
environment, but it is much more. It is a vivid
study of how the natural environment, poverty and
population growth can interact to provoke terrible
human-made disasters like the violence in Darfur.
When a war erupts, as in Darfur, most policymakers
look for a political explanation and a political
solution. This is understandable, but it misses a
basic point. By understanding the role of geography,
climate and population growth in the conflict, we
can find more realistic solutions than if we stick
with politics alone.
Extreme poverty is a major cause, and predictor, of
violence. The world's poorest places, like Darfur,
are much more likely to go to war than richer
places. This is not only common sense, but has been
verified by studies and statistical analyses. In the
UNEP's words, "There is a very strong link between
land degradation, desertification and conflict in
Darfur."
Extreme poverty has several effects on conflict.
First, it leads to desperation among parts of the
population. Competing groups struggle to stay alive
in the face of a shortage of food, water, pasture
land and other basic needs. Second, the government
loses legitimacy and the support of its citizens.
Third, the government may be captured by one faction
or another, and then use violent means to suppress
rivals.
Darfur, the poorest part of a very poor country,
fits that dire pattern. Livelihoods are supported by
semi-nomadic livestock-rearing in the north and
subsistence farming in the south. It is far from
ports and international trade, lacks basic
infrastructure such as roads and electricity and is
extremely arid. It has become even drier in recent
decades because of a decline in rainfall, which is
probably the result, at least in part, of man-made
climate change, caused mostly by energy use in rich
countries.
Declining rainfall contributed directly or
indirectly to crop failures, the encroachment of the
desert into pasturelands, the decline of water and
grassland for livestock and massive deforestation.
Rapid population growth - from around one million in
1920 to around seven million today - made all of
this far more deadly by slashing living standards.
The result has been increasing conflict between
pastoralists and farmers and the migration of
populations from the north to the south. After years
of simmering conflicts, clashes broke out in 2003
between rival ethnic and political groups, and
between Darfur rebels and the national government,
which in turn has supported brutal militias in
"scorched earth" policies, leading to massive death
and displacement.
While international diplomacy focused on
peacekeeping and on humanitarian efforts to save the
lives of displaced and desperate people, peace in
Darfur can be neither achieved nor sustained until
the underlying crises of poverty, environmental
degradation, declining access to water and chronic
hunger are addressed. Stationing soldiers will not
pacify hungry, impoverished and desperate people.
Only with improved access to food, water, health
care, schools and income-generating livelihoods can
peace be achieved. The people of Darfur, Sudan's
government and international development
institutions should urgently search for common
ground to find a path out of desperate violence
through Darfur's economic development, helped and
supported by the outside world.
The UNEP report, and experiences elsewhere in
Africa, suggests how to promote economic development
in Darfur. Both people and livestock need assured
water supplies. In some areas, this can be obtained
through boreholes that tap underground aquifers. In
other areas, rivers or seasonal surface runoff can
be used for irrigation. In still other areas,
longer-distance water pipelines might be needed. In
all cases, the world community will have to help pay
the tab, since Sudan is too poor to bear the burden
on its own.
With outside help, Darfur could increase the
productivity of its livestock through improved
breeds, veterinary care, collection of fodder and
other strategies. A meat industry could be developed
in which Darfur's pastoralists would multiply their
incomes by selling whole animals, meat products,
processed goods (such as leather), dairy products
and more. The Middle East is a potentially lucrative
nearby market. To build this export market, Darfur
will need help with transport and storage, cell
phone coverage, power, veterinary care and technical
advice.
Social services, including health care and disease
control, education and adult literacy programmes
should also be promoted. Living standards could be
improved significantly and rapidly through low-cost
targeted investments in malaria control, school
feeding programmes, rainwater harvesting for
drinking water, mobile health clinics and boreholes
for livestock and irrigation in appropriate
locations. Cell phone coverage could revolutionise
communications for sparse populations in Darfur's
vast territory, with major benefits for livelihoods,
physical survival and the maintenance of family
ties.
The only way to sustainable peace is through
sustainable development. If we are to reduce the
risk of war, we must help impoverished people
everywhere, not only in Darfur, to meet their basic
needs, protect their natural environments and get
onto the ladder of economic development.
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