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Cement is a
very, very hot commodity in Ethiopia. Whether you are in the biscuit
or plastic industry, you should think long and hard about venturing
into the cement business because you are sure to make friends very
quickly, especially of the foreign kind, says gossip.
The key phrase
today is joint venture. There are legions of smart Indian
entrepreneurs forging joint ventures with local companies to import
cement into the country.
The Indians,
says Gossip, have identified the feasibility of the cement business
here and have flown from Mumbai to talk to local businesses who
would like to import cement through a joint venture. And because the
government’s Plan A does not seem to have quite worked out yet, the
whole country is scrambling for Plan B and C.
Indeed, Derba
MIDROC’s cement is not here yet, though the Prime Minister promised
that it will arrive in a few weeks. It has already been couple of
weeks since he had his latest press conference.
Gossip
speculates that the Ministry of Trade and Industry and the Ethiopian
Investment Commission might become extremely busy issuing trade
licenses for the cement joint ventures in the coming weeks.
And why not?
Who cares, says the gossip corridor, if you have no foreign currency
outside the country but your partner does? The major factor why you
need the joint venture is because you are not allowed to have a
foreign currency in the first place!
Those who think
that the cement import business is a monopoly or that the Sheikh
will have the lion’s share are wrong, says Gossip. The cement
situation is just that serious. One of the businesses which will
cherish this new inflow of visitors is the hotel business, actually
if the hotels are outgoing and creative they could arrange meetings
for joint ventures to tap the potential in the new business venture.
When the going
gets desperate, the government is happy to bring in cement any way
it can. If you and your new Indian best friend can do it together,
well go right ahead, says gossip.
The major
sources for the cement will be Ukraine, Indonesia and Singapore and
they will flourish with the high demand and joint ventures. Gossip
speculates which cement will fit the quality level of the Ethiopian
Standards and Quality Authority which announced last week that
importers will have to pass the litmus test to import the right type
of cement.
The current
market price of 240 Br a quintal will settle a very good profit
margin for the joint venture guys as you could import for only 170
up to 180 Br a quintal says Gossip. Will the new companies give
constructors in Ethiopia a little break by bringing down the market
rate to something a little more reasonable? For the time being, only
Shiva knows !
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