The uncle that I mentioned in this column two weeks ago
left on the same day as my birthday. It was a bit of an odd feeling
because that day is usually all about me. As he was leaving, that
day was all about him, too.
We of course did a review of the few weeks that he spent
here. He is a bit of a worrier by nature and a pragmatist to the
bone, so the changes that he saw in our fair metropolis caused him
alarm as opposed to amazement. Most people that have not been here
for a while who then slide through the city see other things such as
shiny glass and big streets, even streetlights and garbage people.
But no, it was not that easy to fool my Uncle who saw a completely
different side to the coin.
Throughout his stay here, there was not a day that he did
not mention the fact that all these buildings and houses that were
being constructed and the outrageous prices for land were going to
eventually lead this country into social unrest.
He argued that the few that can afford to build these structures or
own the nice cars have created a huge dent in the already enormous
class gap. He particularly chastised the Diaspora that bring in
foreign currency from menial or dishonest jobs in the West and then
come here and make it a point to define themselves to others through
what they drive and what sort of a house they live in. Even those
that had money locally did the same thing. It was the cars and the
buildings.
The majority of the people that were residing in this
country were not the urbanites, nor would they be able to afford to
be protected by many of the fancy walls that were coming up. Of
course, you have to see where he is coming from.
He was arguing his case from a purely outside perspective,
although he was applying his experience to it. When you look our
daily reality in the depth, his version sounds like cookies and
cream. As much construction as is going on in the city, the prices
of industrial materials, particularly cement, are no joke these
days. Despite that fact, there is still an amazing boom in the
industry. I mean it is more than obvious that the locally produced
cement just won’t cut it; the other materials that are imported are
rising in price because of the increase in oil price in the global
market.
Many of the large structures that are coming up are using
bank loans to do so, putting up whatever property as collateral.
When all is said and done, and all the buildings are up, there will
not be enough businesses to be able to fill all of them and repay
the loans. In a nation of over 70 million people, the people that
can afford to rent the fancy glass windows is very limited.
Neither will they offer permanent jobs when compared to,
say, a factory. They do not produce any tangible thing. The money
could be better invested elsewhere allowing more people to grow
together as opposed to one growing alone. But for now, they sure do
make the city look good. Imagine what will happen when the real
estate market collapses and there is no one there to buy the
buildings so that the banks can get their money back. Granted, many
of the people that can afford such sizable debt will probably have
more than a single way to repay them.
That still does not deter the banks from putting themselves
in risk because were the property market to falter, they would be
left with a bunch of buildings on their hands and no one can afford
to buy them. As far as I am concerned, this smells like trouble in
the air.
I mean people are building western standard mansions in the
middle of shanty areas. They are stepping over beggars to eat 100 Br
a plate meals. Yeah, all is well and good now, but what about later
on down the line?