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Back in the year 2000, when the Tigray
People's Liberation Front (TPLF) was going
through one of its most trying times since
its establishment in the early 1970s, Siye
Abraha, rather well-known for his military
credentials during the armed struggle
against the Derg, led a rebellion
against the group that finally retained
power within the ruling EPRDF. Many
observers of Ethiopian politics attributed
his group's eventual purge from the ruling
party to his, and couple of his comrades',
walkout during a crucial meeting held in
Mekelle between the leadership and an army
of TPLF cadres.
His walkout, allegedly over emotionally
disturbed cadres, forced them prostrate,
pleading in the name of TPLF martyrs, and
was considered as good a political suicide
as it could have possibly been. Whether or
not things would have turned out
differently, had the dissidents within the
TPLF leadership stayed in, is hard to
contemplate now.
Nevertheless, this has not deterred Siye
from making a stunning comeback to the
political landscape. This time around, he
architected a grand opposition coalition of
eight parties that finally formed the Forum
for Democracy and Dialogue (FDD). He should
be credited for persuading leaders of these
parties - from Beyene Petros (Prof), a
veteran in opposition coalition politicking,
to Merera Gudina (PhD) and from Bulcha
Demeksa to Gebru Asrat, the latter a
dissident-in-arms in the TPLF - to accept a
minimum programme on core political issues.
Now Siye is trying to steer the way in order
to make the FDD the largest opposition force
challenging the incumbent around the bloc.
It would indeed take a political maverick to
navigate in a complex set of opposition
politics in order to achieve this goal.
Above all, though, the art of engagement and
compromise would be the essence that ought
to be defining the electoral politics ahead.
It is interesting to see the Revolutionary
Democrats claim to have fallen in love with
the politics of engagement lately. They have
laid out the rules of this engagement in
such a way that they would not accept
anything that would harm their interests.
But on the other hand, they swear not to
want to shove any agenda that is clear to
damage the position of opposition parties
negotiating with themdown the throat of
their opponents down the throat of their
opponents. However, so long as it does not
affect their interests and has no particular
use to them, they would be ready to
compromise should their opponents see that
the issues advance their cause.
It is this "politics of a search for the
possible" that finally led them to sign an
electoral code of conduct and its modality
with three opposition parties, including
Hailu Shawel's All Ethiopian Unity Party (AEUP).
The highly publicised handshake that
followed - between Meles Zenawi and Hailu -
was, thus, a powerful reminder of this
changing climate among political parties
contesting for state power that would give
the winner access to the nation's resources
and the ability to take the country in any
chosen direction.
Although this is in no way an easy exercise,
the images of the two gentlemen shaking
hands splashed on the pages of newspapers
and screens of TV sets and computers has a
lot more to tell in its form than it does in
its substantive content. Never was there a
period, in the history of this country,
where political leaders from across the
political divide, with mutual abhorrence to
one another, have ever made the painful
compromises that would have allowed them to
meet halfway, as the signatories of the code
of conduct have recently done.
Alas, they are now collecting their
dividends from their respective supporters
and constituencies as much as they sustain
losses from those who disagree with the
leadership heads who are party to the deal.
Subject to rather fierce criticisms and
angry reactions, as a result of this deal,
is AEUP's Hailu, for he was the least
expected to have cut a deal with the leaders
of a political party that imprisoned him for
almost two years. One of his top leaders has
recently left the party in protest,
signalling the threat of a mass exodus from
AEUP.
In a way, Hailu, to a large extent, and the
other signatories, to a certain degree, have
become victims of the politics of rejection
that appears to have overwhelmed the
political culture in Ethiopia for far too
long now.
The politics of rejection is more than just
avoiding friendly handshakes between heads
of opposing political parties. It is the
idea that the opposing party is wrong no
matter what stance it takes, and that the
opposition is there just to reject the
ruling party's policies simply because it
comes from the incumbent. If either party
does not hold to this type of politics, they
risk rejection by their respective members
who may hold very firmly to this type of
politics.
Such politics unavoidably descends into
labelling, prejudice, ignoring, judging and
generalities. And these are hallmarks of the
politics in this country. Even those who
claim to have grown out of this culture are
deeply sunk in it when referring to their
most loathed opponents.
This is true of Ethiopia's political
history. Ethiopia went from one extreme to
the other, avoiding the middle ground where
dialogues and discussions have room to grow.
The Emperor was so paranoid about dissension
that he had bribed his administrators with
land, wealth and titles. This was
understandably so, given the slowly changing
and unresponsive nature of a monarchy where
anything less than loyalty to the Emperor
was nothing but treason.
It would take a treasonous revolution, no
matter how slowly it crept, to change the
status quo.
But the junior military officers were no
less suffocating. Unlike the pillow that was
allegedly used on His Majesty, the
suffocation of public opinion was often
bloody. Again, there was no room for the
development of political discourse; and
subsequent decades of political numbness
went by.
Although a changing global order imposed the
realities of multiparty politics and
pluralism with the advent of the
Revolutionary Democrats in the early 1990s,
it hardly went beyond rhetoric; for all
could see, that the EPRDF had been as
confrontationist in the field of electoral
politics as it had been combative in the
battlefields.
Now that it has taken the initiative to
engage with its political rivals on issues
of electoral importance, it deserves
appreciation. It would help the political
process move better, should members of the
opposition respond in kind. To their credit
some have. Others, prominently the coalition
engineered by Siye, however, opted not to be
a party to the code of conduct. It is
regrettable, but not surprising. The Forum
may want to define its place in the
Ethiopian polity as a "genuine opposition
force" with an uncompromising overture.
Unfortunately, the Forum's decision to walk
out of the talks on the code of conduct
shows that there will hardly be a complete
riddance of the politics of rejection, for
there are constituencies to whom rejecting
whatever comes from the powers that be, has
strong appeal. Ironically, the Forum finds
itself on the frontline of the rejection
politics, walking out of negotiating rooms
on a couple of occasions during the
preceding two-month-long period of
engagement between Ethiopia's political
parties.
The Forum's original demand was to have a
bilateral talk with the incumbent; it said
that it had specific issues not shared with
the others. Later on, it said it would be
interested in talking about broader issues
that affect the conduct of free and fair
elections not limited to the code of
conduct.
These issues could be valid and crucial to
the legitimacy of the electoral process. It
ought to be unsurprising if raised by any
party, for that matter. Nonetheless,
engagement politics is all about the art of
the possible, and reaching the middle
ground. It would demand concessions and
compromises made by the respective
negotiating parties that may turn out to be
very unpopular by members and supporters.
However, as long as it serves in bringing
quality to the process and maintains
long-term currency in improving the
political landscape, leaders will be called
upon to demonstrate such political courage.
Hailu has certainly lived up to this
expectation of compromise, despite the risk
of losing support.
So far, seen shunning away from inking a
deal with the incumbent, and perhaps
claiming a place among the opponents of the
EPRDF as an uncompromising and formidable
opposition force, it is hard to see the game
plan crafted by the leaders of the Forum. It
appears inevitable for them to take part in
the upcoming national election. It may not
sound fair, but it is equally inevitable for
the signatories of the code of conduct to
pass their document through Parliament into
law, which would then require the Forum to
adhere to its precepts.
It would help the Forum and opponents of the
incumbent little to pursue the politics of
rejection, when they seem to wield hardly
any power to stop the others from
legislating their document into a binding
law. They could have chosen to put their
marks on it, for they were able to engage
and prepared to compromise, however painful
some of the concessions they might have had
to make.
Nevertheless, it may not be too late for
them to be part of engagement politics seen
practiced by others which could dispel the
culture of politics of rejection from the
landscape. Such an outdated culture does not
pay political dividends to any of them. |