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Collective memory can be hard to retain.
Nevertheless, at this dramatic period in
Ethiopia's political history, it is
appropriate to remember the tone, much more
than the substance, of the inter-party
relationships that shaped politics during
much of the 1990s.
Having no historical perspective carries the
risk of underestimating the significance, in
contemporary politics, of last week's deal
cemented by the leaders of four major
political parties. These leaders include
Meles Zenawi of the Ethiopian Peoples'
Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF),
Hailu Shawel (Eng.) of the All Ethiopia
Unity Party (AEUP), Lidetu Ayalew of the
Ethiopian Democratic Party (EDP), and Ayele
Chamiso of the Coalition for Unity and
Democracy (CUD). With the possible exception
of the latter, all the others are indeed
veterans of that decade.
Although all these parties have had the
right to exist, they have been mutually
parsimonious in granting recognition to the
rightful place each holds in Ethiopian
society. Much of the talk about building a
pluralistic multiparty political system was
mere rhetoric, if not a post-cold war
phenomenon that also engulfed many other
parts of the world.
For the EPRDF, also known as the
Revolutionary Democrats, the few MPs in
parliament were hardly politicians with a
proper mandate from their respective
constituencies deserving of acknowledgement
and respect. Unfortunately, all the leaders
of the opposition, including those in
parliament, were summarily branded
"anti-peace, anti-democracy and
antidevelopment" forces. It ought to humble
Meles now to know that he just shook hands
with the very same people he once would have
minced in public statements - even from the
parliamentary platform - through the
forceful employment of the above terms.
It was clear that the very existence of the
opposition parties and their leaders was
believed to be a necessary evil among the
leaders of the ruling party - more so than
they believed in their right to exist or to
represent any constituencies. Their
orientation and worldview was that the
opposition and any platform of dissent was
an enemy of the state whose power they
became custodians of. Thus, the opposition
had to be eliminated or, at least, kept in a
state of terminal paralysis.
What a departure it is from the days when
even senior cadres of the EPRDF used to
subscribe to the view that their job was to
weaken and eliminate dissent in society by
whatever means necessary?
Equally, the opposition camp never credited
the Revolutionary Democrats for upholding
and enforcing policies for the greater good
of Ethiopian society that were bold, if not
near political suicide. In part, leaders of
the opposition camp were voluntary victims
of the propaganda unleashed by the former
military government against the rebels now
in government. Far beyond internal political
squabbling, leaders of the ruling party were
never considered by those in the opposition
camps to be "real Ethiopians." They were
accused of and labeled "traitors and
sellouts of foreign powers and interests."
Hardly any other opposition leader
symbolizes this view, however extreme, more
than Hailu, a political leader credited
among admirers for his formidable skills of
organization. He too should experience
humility in extending his hands to the
person his movement once saw as everything
but Ethiopian and who had locked him up
behind bars for almost two years.
In between are figures such as Lidetu, who
had been young enough to be swayed by
populist demands but maverick enough to have
learnt from his past mistakes. His decision
to part from the CUD's leadership early on,
and his subsequent move to promote the
politics of a "third way" never made him
popular since then, though.
Ayele is indeed the most underrated of the
politicians, but he has political experience
dating back to the days of the military
regime. When no one was up to the task
during the debacle of the 2005 national
election, he dared to raise the CUD flag and
collect over 2,500 signatures to register
the CUD and transform it from a loose
electoral front to a legal political party.
He had to pay the price for his daring move,
turning himself from a successful candidate
under the CUD platform for the city council
into a villain within few weeks. He was
accused of being an instrument of the ruling
party in its bid to weaken the already
fragmented CUD. He also had to endure
financial losses after selling his vehicle
in order to raise enough funds to finance
the activities of his followers who had to
travel to several regions in their efforts
to collect signatures. Little does this
sacrifice seem to have helped him recover
from the publicity bruises he came to suffer
as a result.
All of these leaders have lately acted in a
smart way that they deemed would serve their
respective partisan interests best. The
balance sheet may vary from one to the
other, however.
For Meles and his party, the deal last week
signifies a victory in the sense that the
EPRDF is on a different track from where it
was for many years. It indicates a
realisation that a sheer show of force
cannot fix everything, and that a display of
power has its limitations. Indeed, seeing
any political force exercise untamed power
sends a chill down one’s spine. Meles and
company seem to have come to appreciate the
wonders of soft power, which is all about
bridging, dialogue, and understanding. Such
is the lesson that even the United States,
with all its power, seems to have learned
from its adventures in Iraq and Afghanistan.
To his credit, Meles has lately begun to
gain the admiration and respect of the
African elite, particularly the persistently
skeptical editors across the continent. The
reasons for this are twofold. For one, they
are happy with him championing an African
agenda in the international arena. After
all, there are not that many African leaders
having either the caliber or the interest to
engage as intellectually as he does in these
places. He has proven to be very articulate,
and they are proud of him.
But more interestingly, they see a man who
is gaining advances in the creation of a
strong and effective state that is good at
delivering one of the two public goods. He
is building so much national infrastructure
that past leaders just do not compare. Where
he has been subjected to criticism, from the
inside and out, is in his failure to deliver
the other public good: accountability.
It seems that he has come around to learn
that politics should not necessary be an art
of confrontation. Electoral politics
requires dialogue, discussion, concession
and wining the minds, as well as the hearts,
of the voters. What the ruling party has
achieved by bringing one of the most
formidable opposition parties on board is
neutralizing the kind of politics
overshadowed by hate and rejection during
much of the past 17 years. This deserves
praise.
The neutralization of the politics of
rejection that defines the opposition camp
has vindicated Lidetu and his EDP, so to
say. Over the past five years, he has paid a
political price for his decision to advocate
what he describes as politics based on
"reasons and rationality." That roughly
means not practicing a blanket rejection of
what the ruling party says, so long as some
of its policies are working and make sense.
He indeed voted in favour of the ruling
party on several bills before parliament,
most notable was the House's controversial
resolution to send Ethiopian troops to
Somalia.
His decision in distancing himself and the
party he leads from adversarial engagement
with the ruling party may have earned him
the perception by many in the opposition
camp and their supporters as a stooge of the
EPRDF. However, Hailu's arrival on the scene
ought to be a vindication for him that the
days of a politics of desperation are indeed
fading.
It takes courage and audacity for Hailu not
to be swayed by populism and to be seen
shaking hands with Meles, who symbolizes
everything evil to the opposition camp,
particularly that of the extreme group in
the Diaspora. Indeed, the bloggers are all
over Hailu, already calling him all kinds of
names. One of his supporters-cum-critics
described last week's deal as a
"Mephistophelian bargain." He linked his
signing of the deal with the name of a demon
from Faust's legend.
It is certain that he will pay a price for
some time to come. And he needs to make a
lot of explanations to his supporters before
recovering from the pubic relations bruises
that Lidetu and his party continue to
suffer.
Nevertheless, his was a decision that shows
his party's coming of age - finally. It
shows a departure from a sort of politics
compounded with slogans. Beyond populist
politics, this deal should work in his
favour more than it does to the ruling
party, for the burden of living up to the
promises weighs on the Revolutionary
Democrats and their overenthusiastic, if not
undisciplined, cadres in the regions. The
deal should give his operatives on the
ground the opportunity to function with the
protection of a binding commitment. In fact,
no opposition could have it better than
locking up the incumbent into a binding
deal; it will give them the space to open
their offices across the country, and legal
protection for their operatives on the
ground.
Abrogating on these deals would embarrass
the EPRDF leadership worse than any of the
opposition parties. The incumbent would
loose legitimacy to rule should it win the
coming national elections in another round
of electoral debacles after making such
agreements. |