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Adding insult to injury, power shedding has claimed another victim. The supply of beer has become sparse across brands and regions in Ethiopia.  Breweries have tried a number of strategies including generators, which have failed them, and running their plant between midnight and six in the morning, to address the problem. The rainy season has finally begun and people are hoping increased water supply in Ethiopia’s hydroelectric dams will mean a reduction in power outages.  However as MERGA YONAS, FORTUNE STAFF WRITER, and ABINET ASEFA, SPECIAL TO FORTUNE write, Ethiopia is facing a beer scarcity

Power Shedding Crushes Beer Supply

 
   

No diesel generator seems to be able to rescue the major beer and draught producers in Ethiopia from the blitz of the intensive power shedding that is crippling beer factories which have recently announced a rapid decline in production.
 

Nationally dominant BGI Ethiopia Plc. and companies with regional strongholds including Harar, Bedele, Meta and Dashen breweries are not operating to their fullest capacities. The magnitude of the impact differs from one factory to another but the power blackouts have been the consistent underlying factor.
 

The production shortfall at the breweries is now affecting consumers in towns across Ethiopia as their favourite brands have become scarce. 
 

At Play Hotel, small eatery at a place called Bermuda in Hawassa town (273Km south of Addis Abeba) in the Southern Nations, Nationalities and Peoples Regional State (SNNP), beer products from BGI, brewers of St. George and Bati are consumed at the highest rate. Harar beer is their closest competetor. However, since early June, Play is experiencing a shortage of St. George, the leading of BGI's brands, draught and bottled beer.
 

The hotel sought explanation for the cause of the shortage from BGI's distribution centre for the Hawassa area. The officer in charge of distribution responded that power shedding has affected the production process at its two main factories in Addis Abeba and Kombolcha, according to Terefe Nigatu, finance manager of the Hotel.

   
   
 

 

The attempt by the brewery to solve the problems by using diesel generators does not appear to be working.
 

St. George beer and draught have been greatly affected by the power shortage but the problem is not limited to BGI's products, Terefe told Fortune.
 

Dashen Beer, began experiencing a shortage in the middle of June. The second most requested beer at Panorama Food Court (PFC), a modern eatery in the Bole area of downtown Addis Abeba on the fourth floor of DHGEDA Tower on Africa Avenue, is now hard to find. The café is also having a difficult time keeping St. George in stock. In the months just before May, the restaurant used to receive 25 crates of BGI's leading brand twice a week. Now they get 15 to 18 crates, Kirubel Melaku finance manager at the eatery, told Fortune.

 

Both breweries are affected by the power problem in different ways.
 

BGI has faced the decline in all of its brands after its standby generator at the Addis Abeba plant went out of service.
 

"The shortage is on all brands," Esayas Hadera, marketing manager, said in a written reply.
 

Since the problem started shaking the market in early June, BGI devised a rescue measure of operating for 24 hours everyday of the week at both of its production plants - in Addis Abeba and Kombolcha.
 

The two factories had a joint capacity of producing 135,000 hecto-litres (hl), 50pct of which is draught beer, monthly before the power shortage occurred. The Addis plant, which is under repair right now, produces 90,000hl of the total amount. BGI incurred a 20,000hl scarcity of its product following the breakdown.
 

Despite the dearth, BGI claimed it has an estimated 54pc of the current market share and it did not make changes on the price of the products. In fact, its competitors and industry observers agree that BGI has a market share of a little over half nationwide.  

  
"BGI products are available in all parts of the country since the two production units at Addis Abeba and Kombolcha work non-stop," Esayas explained.
 

The Kombolcha plant supplies the north, northwest, northeast and central markets of the company while the Addis plant supplies the rest of the country.

 

In an attempt to offset the shortfall with a temporary solution, the factory in Addis has installed three medium sized generators. However, a few weeks ago it imported a high capacity generator (2,250kva) that arrived on June 26, 2009 and is expected to be up and running after three weeks of installation. The new "Caterpillar" generator which weighs 17tns was purchases from France for 579,000 dollars, according to Esayas. The previous standby generator, which is now out of order, had a capacity of 2,000kva. This has forced BGI to rent a 600kva generator, Esayas added.

 

Almost all factories are using generators.

 

Harar Brewery, more than 520Km east of Addis Abeba, produces beer with a dominant market share in eastern Ethiopia. It has been operating with two generators, one with 1250kva and another with 600kva. The company's management claims that the two generators have helped them remain significantly insulated from the blow by the power shortage.   
 

"Except for a minor deficiency in manpower and some technical problems, the company has not significantly reduced production due to the power blackout," Juneydi Basha, general manager of the factory, told Fortune.
 

That doesn't mean the company has not been hit by the power crisis. They began facing a shortage  in May, 2009.
 

This brewery's major markets are in the east and the southern parts of the country.
 

For example, Tana Hotel Harar, located 526km east of Addis, used to get up to 50 crates twice a week. Now they get 40 crates, Hailu Kasa, owner and manager of the Hotel, told Fortune.
 

Another major market actor, Meta Brewery, located 24Km to the southwest of Addis Abeba, is known for Meta Beer and Meta Premium brands.
 

It has faced a huge production shortfall due to power shedding. This brewery, with 22pc market share nation-wide, previously operated with over 90pc of its installed capacity before May 2009 producing 400,000hl annually. The power blackout, however, has dropped the production to only 60pc installed capacity, an employee of the factory told Fortune.
 

To alleviate the shortfall of its production the factory runs its machines every night from 12:00am to 6:00am, according to the same employee.
 

The new scheme, however, applies to only workers in the production lines The factory does not keep employees in other positions like packaging since workers leave at 5:30pm, the employee who requested to remain anonymous told Fortune.

 

The Meta Abo Brewery products are mostly consumed around central, western, eastern and southern parts of the country.
 

The other brewer that dominates the western part of the country is Bedele. Its products cover 12pc of the national market share.
 

In the pre-blackout time, it produced 350,000 bottles Now using one standby generator and a 12:00am to 6:00am schedule of production, the factory produces between 150,000 and 250,000 bottles depending on the amount of power it uses.

 

Its regional market share, heavily concentrated in the western part of the country, stands at 85pc.

While all these breweries share the same problem, the youngest of the factories, Dashen Brewery, faces not only of the national power shortage but also a scarcity of cork supplies. Previously, the factory used to take corks from Metal Crown Ethiopia Plc; whereas now the cork producer itself is facing power shortages since early June 2009. This led to the cork producer's failure to supply those which depend on its products for their production.

 

The Metal Crown, located 37Km east of Addis Abeba in Dukem, East Shoa Zone of Oromia Regional State, produces cork for Bedele and Harar breweries as well as the two soft drink producers (East Africa Bottling and Moha). "Dashen is one of our main customers and we are trying to satisfy the need of the factory at any cost. The Dashen Beer factory will get the corks from our head station in Kenya in a short period of time," officials of the cork company disclosed to Fortune.
 

However, the company has been forced to import corks from the Spanish company, Jose Combalia Plc and from the Kenyan branch of Metal Crown, according to the general Manager.
 

"From June 14, 2009 onward our factory has totally stopped taking corks from Metal Crown Ethiopia Plc," Birhanu Admasu, general manager of Dashen told Fortune.
 

Like the other breweries, Dashen operates with the electricity it gets from 12:00am until 6:00am.
 

The brewers are, of course, not the only sufferers from this calamity as most factories have been forced to halt production and send their employees home. Businesses are slowing down and the national economy's GDP is declining, as recently admitted by Prime Minster Meles Zenawi.     

 

Yet, whatever these breweries do to keep themselves in the market is a temporary solution. The highly anticipated heavy rains, have only recently begun.  The unprecedented power shortage has much to do with the volume of water the dams received from the Belg rains this year which have been significantly lower than what EEPCo had expected. In fact officials at EEPCo say the Belg rains have been almost nonexistent.   
 

EEPCo introduced the every other day blackout in mid May when electrical engineers and officials at the state utility, as well as energy authorities in the government realized that the original power shedding plan would not enable them to maintain the sparse supply to consumers until the rainy season enhanced the water supply of hydroelectric dams.
 

The 67Mw to 130Mw power deficit during peak hours caused officials of the EEPCo to cut power through a shift system. However, the frequency of no-power-days in a week has now increased to every other day for approximately 18 hours.  The current situation is a far cry from the original plan of load shedding for six days a month and 14 hours a day, for three months, as was publicly announced on April 3, 2009.

 

To avoid the intensive blackout, EEPCo had planned to rent diesel generators with a capacity of 120Mw for about six months from December 2008, using finances from the Ethiopian government and the World Bank. It, however, has only managed to install half the number of generators as the financing from the latter source has been significantly delayed due to bureaucratic issues, Miheret Debebe, CEO of the power utility told Fortune last May.  

 

The generators obtained, with a combined 60Mw capacity, have been installed in Adama (Nazaret) and Bishoftu (Debre Zeit) towns, 99Km and 47Km east of Addis Abeba, respectively. They were brought into the country at a cost of more than 500 million Br for the rental fee and for the diesel consumption. This, according to the CEO, includes the approximately 0.15 dollars per kilowatt per hour subsidy the government pays for the power obtained from the rented generators. The subsidy is the difference between the local cost of power as sold by EEPCo and the charge by the owners of the generators.  

 

The critical power shortage problem will be reversed under two conditions. These being the availability of abundant rain in the current season or the commissioning of the Tekeze Hydro Power Generation plant, whose construction was finalized nearly a year ago and the now completed Gilgel Gibe II.
 

As much as the power company is eager to see the rain pouring down for hours, as it does in normal Keremts (rainy seasons), the brewers and the thousands of businesses affected by the blackouts wait for the increase in the volume of water in the dams to rescue them from suffering any further. Recently, heavy rains have begun to alleviate the problem. There have been daily increases of  the average of one to two centimetres in the water volume, according to Girma Zeleke, EEPCo's National Grid Control Centre Process officer. However, the increase in volume has not been enough to convince EEPCo's officials and experts to reduce the number of days with out power.  

 

 

MERGA YONAS, FORTUNE STAFF WRITER
and ABINET ASEFA, SPECIAL TO FORTUNE

 
 
 
   
 
 
 

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