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In what is considered a fundamental shift from its
previous economic convictions, the United Nations
Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) urged
African countries in its latest report to adopt a
developmental state model. The report suggested that
Africans should make greater use of domestic
financial resources in a bid to achieve sustained
and higher rates of economic growth.
"Paradigms adopted within the past 25 years which
marginalised the state in African economies did not
work," said Janvier Nkurunzia, economic affairs
officer with UNCTAD in Geneva, upon delivering a
presentation of the report last Wednesday, September
26, 2007, at the United Nations Economic Commission
for Africa (UNECA). "Africa, therefore, should learn
from its mistakes and rely more on domestic
financial resources with a better role of the state
if it wants to own its development process."
Past reports of UNCTAD focused on external finance
and its efficient utilisation; the focal points of
the reports in 2004 and 2005 were debt cancellation
and foreign direct investment (FDI).
However, the lesson that UNCTAD claimed to have
gained from several Asian economies that are
practising the 'developmental state' concept
initiated it to recommend similar prescriptions for
African states.
"It takes courage to acknowledge that something
failed," Mr. Nkurunzia stated.
Prime Minister Meles Zenawi had also articulated in
his doctoral dissertation that the developmental
state paradigm is the best option for Africa to
adhere to. Though, this, for some economists, means
economic interventionism based on the Asian model to
achieve targeted development, there are other
economists who argue that it is indeed the right
medicine for countries like Ethiopia.
"Markets are not efficient in Ethiopia and the
private sector is not as vibrant as it should be,"
Wolday Ameha, president of the Ethiopian Economic
Association (EEA) told Fortune. "For the time
being, the state has to manage the economy."
However, Wolday argues that the state should
gradually pull its hands out of the economy and make
sure that the private sector stands on its feet.
In classical economics the private sector is the
engine of growth; but there is doubt among
economists in Ethiopia that free market conditions
can initiate the growth needed to alleviate poverty
in one of the poorest countries in the world.
UNCTAD listed four major roles that the state, not
the private sector, would play in order to jump
start the highly aspired growth in the region
through strong institutional frameworks.
The report contended that improving tax collection
capacity could double tax revenues in some
countries. Large variations in the ratios of tax
revenues to gross domestic product (GDP) suggest
that countries with very low ratios have the
potential to increase revenues dramatically.
Analysts consider Ethiopia a part of this group.
The second role of the state according to the report
is formalising economic activities so that the tax
base would potentially increase. The informal sector
has become an increasingly important segment of
economic activity in many African countries due to
economic liberalisation and state roll-back policies
pursued over the last 25 years, the report says.
Also included in the report is the creation of a
condition in which more remittances are channelled
through banking systems. Unrecorded remittances,
unlike the recorded ones, spur consumption rather
than investment, which adversely affects the growth
of a country.
UNCTAD also argues that capital flight is
continuously denying African economies large amounts
of the continent's resources for investment. A study
made in 2000 estimated that the stock of capital
flight from Africa is higher than the stock of the
continent's debt, prompting some analysts to
conclude that Africa is a "net creditor" versus the
rest of the world.
Mr. Nkurunzia asserted that, following profit
maximisation motives, the private sector on its own
is not concerned directly with these four crucial
areas needed for growth enhancement.
"The state should ensure that private interests
converge with collective interests," he said.
"Ignoring collective interest, development cannot
come into the fore."
However, it is feared that the latest report would
be frowned upon by international institutions like
the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF)
as they tend to adhere to the more classical
approach advising African countries to create an
economy in which the role of the state is minimal.
"We should not apply across the board prescriptions
by these financial institutions," Wolday told
Fortune. "The government and the private sector
should work in collaboration to bring about the
change we long for."
Nkurunzia however, believes that these institutions
consider this move as a compliment to their policy
prescriptions, which is now tilting to the desire
for a strong state that effectively mobilises its
domestic resources efficiently.
"They know as well as us that the state has a
crucial role to play," Nkurunzia told Fortune.
"But we are not advocating an interventionist and
overprotective state." |