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Fortune:
Ato Bereket, if you find some of my questions
making references to the interview we had had in
2005, please forgive me. It is because the local and
by-elections held two weeks ago were in the shadow
of what happened in the recent political history of
this country. And you were at the center of that
process from the run-up to the May 2005 national
elections - including the hotheaded debates - to the
voting date and all that followed. Unlike in the
past, you have not been seen assume that central
role; you have chosen to be less visible. Why is
that? Is it because you have become unpopular in the
eyes of the electorates that your party decided it
might be a good idea for you to be away from public
attention?
Bereket:
The nature of the work I get myself involved now
demands me to keep a low profile. Nevertheless, it
does not mean that I was not at the center of the
election, although I was not that visible.
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Q.
Do you accept that you have become unpopular due to
your role during the May 2005 elections?
I do not think I have become unpopular; I tend to
believe that emotions were high at that time. It is
a bit difficult to take emotions as a yardstick of
measurement. When the emotions have subsided people
have chosen the EPRDF and it seems the popularity of
the party has increased. We, members of the EPRDF,
do not want our individual ratings to serve as means
of measurement but rather the party’s program. It is
obvious that the party has won the elections and the
credibility gap has been filled, and I do not think
those emotions ought to be taken as eternal.
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Q.
Although the official figures are yet to be
disclosed, I suspect you have the results of the
recent elections at your fingertips?
Definitely!
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Q.
Tell me about Addis Abeba: By-elections were held
for 14 seats to the federal parliament and you have
won all of them. The city council has about 138
seats; with the exception of one, your party took
137. All the district seats have been taken by the
EPRDF, if not all the kebelle seats. Is that
accurate?
I am not sure about all the kebelle seats, but
certainly a significant majority of the seats there
have been taken by us. It seems to me this is a
landslide victory.
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Q.
Three years ago, when we talked about your electoral
defeat in Addis Abeba in particular, you had said
that your party had tasted defeats on several
occasions. And it is a party that always made a
comeback. Would you consider this as yet another
comeback?
Sure. After the 2005 electoral defeat in Addis, the
party worked hard to correct its mistakes, which, to
a large extent, isolated some of our support groups
who subsequently rendered support to the opposition.
These were the protest votes that they got. We also
started working on putting things right. It was a
combination of avoiding mistakes and simultaneously
doing the right things that caused the EPRDF to
regain the lost confidence of the electorate. In the
end, the people soberly weighed what the EPRDF has
done in terms of transforming the city with a view
to changing their lives, and they recognised its
efforts in trying to address their concerns. This is
why they have once again given a vote of confidence
in the EPRDF.
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Q.
Who voted for you? The youth and the elite of Addis
Abeba certainly did not take part in the elections.
The youth have taken part in the election, I am sure
of that. I am not sure about the elite; there are
some who have voted although the number cannot be
known. The majority of the people who have
participated in the election are from the low-income
group. This tells you that although they have not
started to benefit sufficiently from the reform,
they are still hoping to be included and to be
counted.
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Q.
Three years ago you characterized CUD’s landslide
win in Addis Abeba as a “windfall”. Is this not a
windfall for you too?
A certain Amharic newspaper last time translated the
word windfall in another context and gave it a
different Amharic meaning; with due respect to its
[the newspaper’s] work, this is not a windfall gain
because we have worked hard in the last two years
and have tried to build on the achievements that we
have had in the past four years. It was a result of
our concerted efforts, which, on the one hand,
focused on changing the socio-economic and political
situations in Addis Abeba, and on the other, tries
to explain to the public what we were doing and what
we will be doing in the future. I think that this
time the public vote was not based on emotions, but
rather on the cost and benefit analysis they have
made. On both sides - whether for the EPRDF or for
the public - the election results are not an
emotionally driven choice but one that is based on
clear understanding of self-interest. I do not think
it is a windfall gain.
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Q.
Out of curiosity, during the last election, CUD had
won 137 seats whereas one candidate was elected from
the EPRDF to the city council. This time around, the
EPRDF has won 137 seats and only one was left for
CUD of Ayele Chamisso. Was it a sheer coincidence or
a deliberate act by the EPRDF to demonstrate how
vengefully it can come back?
It was simple coincidence. As you can imagine, we
did not know we would win all the seats prior to the
results. As any party we competed for all the seats;
the gains could have been 90pc, 95pc or any
percentage. It just happened that one of our
candidates was not up to the standard that had been
set by EPRDF, so we withdrew his candidacy, thus
leaving one seat up for grabs.
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Q:
This is too much of a coincidence?
Yes, it was too much of a coincidence. But I do not
think the EPRDF would calculate to win this election
in that way.
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Q:
How is it that a party that was categorically
rejected by Addis Abebans three years ago, for
whatever mistakes the party might have done in the
past, is overwhelmingly being accepted now? How is
that people go from one extreme to the other? Isn’t
it that too good to be true?
If you look at the fundamentals, this is an obvious
result. What happened in the 2005 election was that
the constituency of the EPRDF voted, for some
reason, in favor of the oppositions. That was what
we described as protest votes. As I explained
earlier, we had not done much in the first 11 years
of our rule in Addis.
There were also some other mistakes the party
committed, such as problems related to ensuring good
governance. Rapid economic development was at an
early stage because the renewal process had started
only two years prior to the elections. Although the
results of our work had begun to be seen, it was not
sufficient to show the people what we could do.
Two years after the election, the public realized
the futility of casting their votes based on
emotions, especially when they started to see the
positive sides to the EPRDF. As this positivism was
to their benefit, naturally they shifted from the
position they took in 2005 and stood where they
could give equal opportunity to all of us. Once
people stood in this middle ground, the EPRDF worked
so hard at explaining what it is doing and what it
can do. At the same time, reality started to speak
for itself. It was a combination of these factors
that brought the shift from one extreme to the
other; when emotions subsided the public finally got
it right.
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Q.
I remember the headline we used in our newspaper
immediately after the election three years ago: It
was the word “Unprecedented!” It is very difficult
to call the recent elections unprecedented because
they were quiet, the debates were not heated and
they were not competitive because some of the
parties have boycotted them. The EPRDF has,
effectively, run against itself. Why should anyone
be excited about a “landslide win” given that the
playing field was not competitive as it should be?
The choice of headline is yours; I think you chose a
headline as a journalist who tends to look at the
negative side of things. That is my take. Contrary
to your assertion, this is a positive story and in
my view, it was unprecedented.
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Q.
May be it is the number of candidates you fielded
that was unprecedented.
No . . . no. Let me give you a reason why I call
this election unprecedented. First, many people were
expecting a downward movement of our democratic
process.
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Q.
Many people, including those in the international
community, believe that this is a downward slide on
the part of Ethiopian democracy.
That is a wrong reading of the situation; if proper
yardsticks were utilized, I do not think there would
be a downward movement in our democratic process. In
the first place, it was normal to expect a low voter
turnout after the post election problems that we
have had. But taking in to account that the
registered voters in Ethiopia (26 million plus
people) was bigger than 2005, this was
unprecedented.
Secondly, take, for instance, Addis Abeba; in 2005
about 1.1 million people registered to vote as
opposed to 1.028 million people now. Even in Addis,
after all this, people have not desisted from
exercising their rights. The turnout on Election Day
was more or less identical to that of 2005.
Both in a national context as well as in Addis Abeba,
we have seen no disinterest in participation,
proving that the people have not lost confidence in
the electoral process. This makes it unprecedented,
again.
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Q.
People who visited the polling stations in Addis and
elsewhere found it very difficult to accept what the
national electoral board has said. Suggesting hat
there was a 90pc plus turnout is inconsistent with
what people witnessed on the ground.
We have passed a new electoral law that limits the
number of voters each polling station must serve;
the numbers have been reduced significantly in order
to ease the problems related to long queues. The
number of polling stations in Addis has more or less
increased by more than 50pc, thus if you went to
each polling station, you would find a small number
of voters. That is what happened. Do we have to
reduce the number of polling stations simply to show
long queues? I do not think this makes any sense.
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Q.
Wouldn’t it be wise for the government to allow
international observers to monitor the elections?
We did not allow it because these were local
elections. In most countries, you do not see
international observers monitoring local elections.
It is also an unfortunate trend to seek
certification from foreign observers. As we have
seen in the past, election observation has been used
as an instrument of blackmail in many instances. I
do not think we should substitute the certification
from the Ethiopian people with that of foreigners.
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Q.
The credibility of the national electoral board is
always in question?
I do not think the credibility is in question. Those
parties who have nothing to offer are interested in
making the NEB a bone of contention, or an issue.
Electoral authorities are not disputed in any of the
developed countries.
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Q.
Because they are trusted by the public? They are
credible.
Do you know that in the United States the ruling
party forms the election agencies? Despite this
fact, no contending party focuses on that electoral
system.
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Q.
You are mentioning yardsticks in measuring the
credibility of elections. Elections are not
necessary measured by turnout during votes and
registrations. It is just one aspect. Elections are
also measured by how competitive they are and how
wide the selection is so that voters can choose from
when they vote. Seen from this perspective, this
election was not competitive because opposition
parties boycotted it. Without people having a choice
to make, without the election being competitive, how
could you say that this is an unprecedented
election? It seems to me that there has been a
regression from what we all have seen in 2005.
I do not think this is a problem of our electoral
system, the law or the process. This is the problem
of the opposition parties themselves. |
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